Tag Archive for 'communism'

John Naisbitt and Doris Naisbitt on China’s Megatrends

Almost 30 years ago, the world was introduced to the research and prophecies of John Naisbitt, when he published his landmark book, Megatrends. I read Megatrends around 1984 and it helped me see that the world I was comfortable in wasn’t going to be the reality of my future. Not too many days have gone by since then without my seeing marketplace evidence of John’s enduring cardinal prophecy, which states: the more high tech humans create the more high touch we will require.

Over the years, I have applied this guidepost in my business and have used “high-tech/high-touch” as an effective metaphor – always with attribution – in the written and spoken products I have produced. So it was with great excitement that I had the opportunity to interview John a few years back on my radio program, The Small Business Advocate Show. And recently, I had the honor of helping John and his wife, Doris, launch their new book, China’s Megatrends. They’ve spent the past several years studying the Asian universe and most recently have focused on this region’s 800lb gorilla, which we talk about during this interview.

Should the world fear or embrace China’s emergence? What about China’s legacy of communism? Will China make the rules others will follow? What are the chinks in China’s socio-economic armor? These are some of the topics John, Doris and I discuss. Don’t miss this opportunity to hear from these two important voices about how global business will be conducted. And please be sure to leave your own thoughts, which I will make sure John and Doris see.

Here is my recent interview with John and Doris Naisbitt:  Listen Live! Download, Too!

Here is my 2006 interview with John Naisbitt:  Listen Live! Download, Too!

Is China a duck or a gorilla, and should Small Business USA care?

The cartoon character Baby Huey is a duck whose gigantic size is so out of proportion to other ducks that, combined with his clumsiness, he often creates chaos wherever he goes. He’s a lovable creature but also, sometimes a problem.

Here in the real world, planet Earth has a kind of Baby Huey – China. Like the duck, in most ways, China is out of proportion to its peers. For example, one out of every five Earthlings is Chinese. Its middle class is the size of the entire U.S. population. China has more gifted students than the U.S. has students and more Internet users than the U.S. has people. And while China’s GDP is about 20% of the U.S. economy, it produces carbon emissions comparable to the U.S. carbon footprint.

With its economy growing at an astounding rate of 9% to 10% annually for some time, much of the chaos China created can be attributed to growing pains. Externally, some of that pain has been visited on China’s global marketplace competitors. But one man’s chaos is another man’s candy: To global consumers, China is more lovable because the low cost, high quality products it typically delivers has increased their standard of living.

The China expert in my Brain Trust is Ted Fishman, author of China, Inc. Based on what Ted has told us in previous visits, this Baby Huey is likely to transform into another kind of animated character, the proverbial 800 pound gorilla (my metaphors, not his). And as the duck morphs into the ape, Ted predicts the day will come when China will not just influence global trade, it will establish the rules.

Recently, Ted joined me again on my small business radio program, The Small Business Advocate Show, to talk about how China is doing in the global recession. One of the things he reported was that, as a result of the economic slowdown, “tens of thousands of Chinese manufacturing plants have closed and millions of workers have been laid off.”

We may soon find out whether China is an infantile, overweight duck whimpering with a stomachache, or a gorilla with a dangerous condition that puts itself and others in peril. Don’t miss this opportunity to hear this China expert share his thoughts on this important issue. And, as always, be sure to leave a comment.

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